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Start Luther Burden III or DK Metcalf? Week 6

Updated Oct 16, 2:56 PM ET.

Start Luther Burden III over DK Metcalf

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · at ATL

Market projects
11.9
fantasy pts
ATL D vs WR
37.7
6th most to WRs (2026)
Sit

DK Metcalf

WR · PIT · at TB

Market projects
11.1
fantasy pts
TB D vs WR
30.3
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Through Week 5
Target share
21%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Luther Burden III over DK Metcalf in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 11.9 points and DK Metcalf at 11.1, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and DK Metcalf at 66.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 50 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.1 fantasy points for DK Metcalf, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for DK Metcalf is 52 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11 and 13 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 0.8 points ahead of DK Metcalf on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 181 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ATL.

DK Metcalf and PIT visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 30.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

DK Metcalf is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, DK Metcalf played 95 percent of PIT snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

DK Metcalf, Week 2 against NE: 68 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.

DK Metcalf, Week 3 against CIN: 59 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 1 touchdown.

DK Metcalf, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 115 yards.

DK Metcalf, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, DK Metcalf played 15 games for PIT and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.

He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 436 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR20 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Overall rank
48
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

Ranked behind

WR23 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Overall rank
56
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 12 and tier 13
  • Board size316 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board