Should I start A.J. Brown or Keenan Allen in Week 6?

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Keenan Allen's market-based projection is 11.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keenan Allen, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 11 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 59 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 6.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against KC he caught 1 of 5 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against HOU he caught 6 of 9 targets for 63 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 5 of 9 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Keenan Allen was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Keenan Allen 10.7, 3.9 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Keenan Allen WR29.

Keenan Allen had 1 more targets than A.J. Brown, 122 to 121.

A.J. Brown had 226 more receiving yards than Keenan Allen, 1003 to 777.

This season Keenan Allen holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 44 percent.

This season Keenan Allen holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Keenan Allen in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.