Should I start DeVonta Smith or Carnell Tate in Week 6?

The market-based projections

DeVonta Smith's market-based projection is 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 61st highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Carnell Tate's market-based projection is 11.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on DeVonta Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Carnell Tate: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 55th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 3, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 93 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against WAS he caught 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he caught 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger snap share, 93 percent against 82 percent.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger target share, 33 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

DeVonta Smith is off in Week 10 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.