Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or Jalen Nailor in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Chris Godwin Jr.'s market-based projection is 7.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 114th highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

Jalen Nailor's market-based projection is 6.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 127th highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chris Godwin Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 21; 2QB: ADP 45.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen Nailor: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Chris Godwin Jr. has been on the field for 82 percent of TB snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 3.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 6 of 7 targets for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 48 percent of LV snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 1 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against KC he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 5.7 targets a game, a 65 percent catch rate and 10.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. scored 9.2 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 3.3 a game between them.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished WR78 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Jalen Nailor had 2 more targets than Chris Godwin Jr., 53 to 51.

Jalen Nailor had 84 more receiving yards than Chris Godwin Jr., 444 to 360.

This season Chris Godwin Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 48 percent.

This season Chris Godwin Jr. holds the bigger target share, 14 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Chris Godwin Jr. is off in Week 10 and Jalen Nailor in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.