Should I start Michael Wilson or Dalton Kincaid in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Michael Wilson's market-based projection is 13.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 77 players with a market-based projection.

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 12.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 77 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 40th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 4 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 14 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 67 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Wilson scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 2.5 a game between them.

Michael Wilson finished WR10 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.

Michael Wilson is a wide receiver and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Wilson is off in Week 14 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Dalton Kincaid is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.