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Should I start Michael Wilson or DeVonta Smith in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 16, 2:56 PM ET.

Week 6 verdict

Start DeVonta Smith over Michael Wilson

Start

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHI · vs CAR

Market projects
12.3
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
28.4
9th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
93%
Through Week 3
Target share
33%
Through Week 3
Sit

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · at LAR

Market projects
13.5
fantasy pts
LAR D vs WR
28.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 5
Target share
26%
Through Week 5
Start Smith or Wilson? The full Week 6 breakdown

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for DeVonta Smith, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.

WR16 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
13.4 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

WR68 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 7-9

Overall rank
190
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
25

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size316 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

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Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 35th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on DeVonta Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 190th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

The market-based projections

Michael Wilson's market-based projection is 13.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 55th highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for DeVonta Smith is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 4 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

DeVonta Smith's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 4 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 14 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Through Week 3, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 93 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against WAS he caught 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Wilson scored 13.0 PPR points a game and DeVonta Smith 11.9, 1.1 a game between them.

Michael Wilson finished WR10 that year and DeVonta Smith WR20.

Michael Wilson had 13 more targets than DeVonta Smith, 126 to 113.

DeVonta Smith had 2 more receiving yards than Michael Wilson, 1008 to 1006.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger snap share, 93 percent against 90 percent.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger target share, 33 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Wilson is off in Week 14 and DeVonta Smith in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

DeVonta Smith is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

DeVonta Smith is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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