Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Germie Bernard in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 16.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 10.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 89th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 142 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 142 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against IND he completed 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 5, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 48 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CIN he caught 1 of 1 target for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Germie Bernard a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Germie Bernard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

6.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.