Start Alvin Kamara or Rico Dowdle? Week 6
Start Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara

- Market projects
- 5.9
- fantasy pts
- TB D vs RB
- 16.9
- 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 42%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 2

- Market projects
- 8.1
- fantasy pts
- NYG D vs RB
- 20.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 32%
- Through Week 5
- Target share
- 11%
- Through Week 5
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Also deciding this week
Our Week 6 call
Start Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 5.9 points and Alvin Kamara at 8.1, a gap of 2.2. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Alvin Kamara at 164.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 8.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 24 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 11, 12 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 5.9 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 21 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 12, 12 and 13 market sources).
That puts Alvin Kamara 2.2 points ahead of Rico Dowdle on the market projections.
Week 6 matchups
Alvin Kamara and NO visit NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYG allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 19 more yards.
Rico Dowdle and PIT visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TB allowed 16.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a back injury.
Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable with a toe injury.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, Alvin Kamara played 32 percent of NO snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.
Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.
Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.
Through Week 2, Rico Dowdle played 42 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.
Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.
Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.
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Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB34 · NO · bye 8
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB42 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 143
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board38
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 12
- Board size317 draftable players
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