Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for AJ Barner?

Not on these numbers alone. Kyle Pitts Sr. projects 70 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.0 a game over 10 games) and AJ Barner 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr.

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. or AJ Barner? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr.

Start

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · vs KC

Market projects: 7.0; recent weeks avg
KC D vs TE: 22.6; 2nd most to TEs (2026)
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 6
Target share: 13%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 6.4; recent weeks avg
SF D vs TE: 8.2; 4th fewest to TEs (2026)

Should I drop AJ Barner for Kyle Pitts Sr.?

Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games) and Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr.

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Our Week 7 call

Start AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have AJ Barner at 7.0 points and Kyle Pitts Sr. at 6.4, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for AJ Barner this week yet, so his 7.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (8.1 and 6.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. this week yet, so his 6.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.6 and 6.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for AJ Barner yet. His market-based projections were 8.1 and 6.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 6.6 and 6.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 6.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts AJ Barner 0.6 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

AJ Barner and SEA host KC on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

KC allowed 22.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against KC.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 8.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 36 yards and no touchdowns a game against SF.

By points allowed to the position, AJ Barner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

AJ Barner is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, AJ Barner played 90 percent of SEA snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Barner, Week 3 against WAS: 61 of 67 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 69 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 4 against LAC: 54 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 5 against SF: 60 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 6 against DEN: 79 of 85 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Barner played 17 games for SEA and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 248 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 49 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 67 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop AJ Barner for Kyle Pitts Sr.?
Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games) and Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr.
Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for AJ Barner?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyle Pitts Sr. projects 70 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.0 a game over 10 games) and AJ Barner 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts AJ Barner over Kyle Pitts Sr.