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A.J. Brown or Germie Bernard: Week 6 result

Updated Oct 18, 8:51 PM ET.

Start A.J. Brown over Germie Bernard

Wrong: 5.7 to 25.7
Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · vs NYJ · final

Market projected
11.8
pre-game
NYJ D vs WR
28.5
10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
54 of 100 at WR
Snap share
44%
Through Week 1
Target share
13%
Through Week 1
Scored
5.7
PPR pts
Sit

Germie Bernard

WR · final

Market projected
10.5
pre-game
Upside
Rising
84 of 100 at WR
Snap share
48%
Through Week 5
Target share
11%
Through Week 5
Scored
25.7
PPR pts

A.J. Brown rookie cards

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Our Week 6 call

Start A.J. Brown over Germie Bernard in Week 6.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 11.8 points and Germie Bernard at 10.5, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 52 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 10 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Germie Bernard, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 45 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (14, 12 and 14 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 1.4 points ahead of Germie Bernard on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 28.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 129 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Germie Bernard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown played 44 percent of NE snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 5, Germie Bernard played 48 percent of PIT snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Germie Bernard, Week 2 against NE: 55 of 70 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 35 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 3 against CIN: 17 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 4 against CLE: 29 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

A.J. Brown, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 95 yards, 18.5 PPR points.

How Week 6 went

A.J. Brown scored 5.7 PPR points and Germie Bernard scored 25.7.

The call was wrong: Germie Bernard outscored A.J. Brown by 20.0.

A.J. Brown finished 6.1 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

A.J. Brown finished as the week's WR55 in PPR scoring.

Germie Bernard finished 15.2 points above the 10.5 the market projected.

Germie Bernard, Week 6 against TB: 12 targets and 11 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.7 PPR points.

Germie Bernard finished as the week's WR3 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 6 calls

This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board