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Start Ray Davis or AJ Dillon? Week 6

Updated Oct 16, 11:56 PM ET.

Start Ray Davis over AJ Dillon

Start

Ray Davis

RB

Market projects
1.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
11%
Through Week 5
Target share
2%
Through Week 5
Sit

AJ Dillon

RB · Out

Market projects
2.1
recent weeks avg
Snap share
12%
Through Week 4
Target share
1%
Through Week 4

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Ray Davis over AJ Dillon in Week 6.

AJ Dillon is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Ray Davis. Market coverage on Ray Davis is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 6 player market is posted for AJ Dillon yet. His market-based projections were 1.6 and 2.5 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 2.1, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

Player markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Ray Davis, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ray Davis is 7 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (10 and 13 market sources).

That puts AJ Dillon 0.1 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.

Injury status

AJ Dillon is listed as out with a ankle injury.

Ray Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Ray Davis played 11 percent of BUF snaps, took 3 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Ray Davis, Week 2 against DET: 10 of 74 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 3 against LAC: 5 of 66 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 4 against NE: 4 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB56 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
198
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

Ranked behind

RB · CAR · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size317 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board