Start Tyler Allgeier or Brian Robinson? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson

Allgeier projects lower, 6.5 to 7.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 169 for Allgeier, 210 for Robinson.

Start

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 6.5; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB: 25.3; 7th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 50%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 7.4; recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB: 23.6; 10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 33%; Through Week 6
Target share: 4%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyler Allgeier at 6.5 points and Brian Robinson at 7.4, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Allgeier still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 169 against 210, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 6.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.2 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Robinson this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.5 and 8.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Brian Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 6.5 and 8.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.2 and 6.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 6.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Brian Robinson 0.9 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brian Robinson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 23.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 87 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 25.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 111 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 40 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Robinson is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson played 33 percent of ATL snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Brian Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 14 of 64 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Tyler Allgeier?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson.
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Brian Robinson?
No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson.