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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Makai Lemon? Week 6

Updated Oct 16, 5:51 PM ET.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Makai Lemon

Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · vs HOU

Market projects
4.3
fantasy pts
HOU D vs WR
41.0
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Sit

Makai Lemon

WR · PHI · vs CAR

Market projects
3.9
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
28.4
9th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 5
Target share
15%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Makai Lemon in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 4.3 points and Makai Lemon at 3.9, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Brian Thomas Jr. at ADP 72 and Makai Lemon at 140.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.4 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 18 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Makai Lemon, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Makai Lemon is 16 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 11 and 13 market sources).

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.5 points ahead of Makai Lemon on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host HOU on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

HOU allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 193 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against HOU.

Makai Lemon and PHI host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Makai Lemon is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Makai Lemon played 70 percent of PHI snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Makai Lemon, Week 2 against TEN: 48 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for -5 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 3 against CHI: 35 of 50 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 4 against LAR: 45 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 5 against JAX: 50 of 62 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR54 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Overall rank
154
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
22

Ranked behind

WR86 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
211
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
25

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board57
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 22 and tier 25
  • Board size316 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board