Start Isaiah Likely or Cade Otton? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 9:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Isaiah Likely over Cade Otton

Start

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 10.0; recent weeks avg
HOU D vs TE: 9.0; 6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 6
Target share: 29%; Through Week 6

Sit

Cade Otton

TE · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 7.7; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs TE: 16.6; 9th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share: 93%; Through Week 6
Target share: 16%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Cade Otton for Isaiah Likely?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Isaiah Likely projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Cade Otton.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Cade Otton in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Isaiah Likely at 10.0 points and Cade Otton at 7.7, a gap of 2.3. No player market is posted for Isaiah Likely this week yet, so his 10.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.4 and 10.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Cade Otton this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (7.7 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Isaiah Likely yet. His market-based projections were 9.4 and 10.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Cade Otton yet. His market-based projections were 7.7 and 7.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Isaiah Likely 2.3 points ahead of Cade Otton on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Isaiah Likely and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and no touchdowns a game against HOU.

Cade Otton and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 9th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 53 yards and a touchdown a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Cade Otton has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Cade Otton is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely played 70 percent of NYG snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 3 against TEN: 54 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 4 against ARI: 44 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 66 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Cade Otton played 93 percent of TB snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Cade Otton, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 56 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 4 against GB: 60 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 5 against DAL: 66 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 6 against PIT: 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Cade Otton for Isaiah Likely?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Isaiah Likely projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Cade Otton.
Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Cade Otton?
No. Keep Isaiah Likely: he projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Cade Otton.