Start Pat Freiermuth or Cade Otton? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Cade Otton over Pat Freiermuth

Start

Cade Otton

TE · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 7.7; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs TE: 16.6; 9th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share: 93%; Through Week 6
Target share: 16%; Through Week 6

Sit

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 7.0; recent weeks avg
NO D vs TE: 16.7; 7th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share: 69%; Through Week 6
Target share: 13%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Cade Otton for Pat Freiermuth?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Pat Freiermuth projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Cade Otton over Pat Freiermuth. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Cade Otton over Pat Freiermuth in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Cade Otton at 7.7 points and Pat Freiermuth at 7.0, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Cade Otton this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (7.7 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Pat Freiermuth this week yet, so his 7.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.4 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Cade Otton yet. His market-based projections were 7.7 and 7.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Pat Freiermuth yet. His market-based projections were 6.4 and 7.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Cade Otton 0.7 points ahead of Pat Freiermuth on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Cade Otton and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 9th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 53 yards and a touchdown a game against CAR.

Pat Freiermuth and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 16.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 7th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 71 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NO.

By points allowed to the position, Pat Freiermuth has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Cade Otton is not on the injury report.

Pat Freiermuth is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Cade Otton played 93 percent of TB snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Cade Otton, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 56 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 4 against GB: 60 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 5 against DAL: 66 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 6 against PIT: 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Pat Freiermuth played 69 percent of PIT snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 3 against CIN: 37 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 30 yards.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 4 against CLE: 54 of 72 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 5 against IND: 41 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 6 against TB: 3 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Pat Freiermuth played 17 games for PIT and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 231 air yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Cade Otton for Pat Freiermuth?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Pat Freiermuth projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Cade Otton over Pat Freiermuth. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Pat Freiermuth for Cade Otton?
No. Keep Pat Freiermuth: he projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 10 games), Cade Otton 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Cade Otton over Pat Freiermuth.