Should I drop Zay Flowers for Christian Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games) and Christian Watson 143 (14.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Zay Flowers over Christian Watson.

Start Christian Watson or Zay Flowers? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Zay Flowers over Christian Watson

Start

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs WR: 29.5; 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 55%; Through Week 6
Target share: 31%; Through Week 6

Sit

Christian Watson

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects: 11.9; recent weeks avg
DET D vs WR: 41.0; 3rd most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 79%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Christian Watson for Zay Flowers?

Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games) and Zay Flowers 148 (14.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Zay Flowers over Christian Watson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Zay Flowers over Christian Watson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 16.7 points and Christian Watson at 11.9, a gap of 4.8. No player market is posted for Zay Flowers this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (18.8 and 14.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Christian Watson this week yet, so his 11.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.7 and 13.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Zay Flowers at ADP 24 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Zay Flowers yet. His market-based projections were 18.8 and 14.6 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Christian Watson yet. His market-based projections were 10.7 and 13.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Zay Flowers 4.8 points ahead of Christian Watson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Zay Flowers and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 29.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and a touchdown a game against CIN.

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers played 55 percent of BAL snaps, drew 31 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 20 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 84 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 4 against TEN: 47 of 64 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 118 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 79 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Christian Watson for Zay Flowers?
Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games) and Zay Flowers 148 (14.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Zay Flowers over Christian Watson.
Should I drop Zay Flowers for Christian Watson?
Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games) and Christian Watson 143 (14.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Zay Flowers over Christian Watson.