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Start Tyson Bagent or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 6

Updated Oct 16, 9:26 PM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Tyson Bagent

Market projects
15.4
fantasy pts
Sit

Tyson Bagent

QB · CHI · at ATL

Market projects
14.5
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB
19.1
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
63%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Tyson Bagent in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 15.4 points and Tyson Bagent at 14.5, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyson Bagent this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3, 4 and 5 (10.6, 17.0 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 3 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (7, 13, 8 and 13 market sources).

No Week 6 player market is posted for Tyson Bagent yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 17.0 and 15.8 points in Weeks 3, 4 and 5, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

That puts Michael Penix Jr. 1.0 points ahead of Tyson Bagent on these projections.

Week 6 matchups

Tyson Bagent and CHI visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions.

Injury status

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Tyson Bagent played 63 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Tyson Bagent, Week 5 against GB: 46 of 69 snaps, 12 of 21 passes for 87 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB17 · CHI · bye 10

Overall rank
111
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB18 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Overall rank
119
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 6
  • Board size317 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board