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Start Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 6

Updated Oct 14, 10:01 PM ET.

Start Nico Collins over Tetairoa McMillan

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
71%
Through Week 5
Target share
26%
Through Week 5
Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
87%
Through Week 4
Target share
27%
Through Week 4

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Nico Collins over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Nico Collins at 15.6 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 14.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 73 receiving yards and 5-6 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 67 receiving yards and 5-6 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (12, 9 and 9 market sources).

That puts Nico Collins 1.1 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the market projections.

Injury status

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Nico Collins, Week 5 against TEN: 47 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan played 87 percent of CAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR8 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
22
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

WR12 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
32
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 7 and tier 8
  • Board size202 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board