Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Jake Ferguson in Week 6?

Updated Oct 18, 10:11 PM ET. Week 7 answers post Tuesday.

Start Adonai Mitchell: 76 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 74 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Adonai Mitchell

WR43 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Market-based projection: 8.9 pts a game Wk 5 price
Overall rank: 114

Jake Ferguson

TE18 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection: 7.6 pts a game

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The gap

Board size330 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Adonai Mitchell, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 7.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 62 players with a market-based projection.

This season so far

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 15.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against GB he caught 6 of 12 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 72 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Adonai Mitchell 5.5, 5.6 a game between them.

Adonai Mitchell finished WR73 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Adonai Mitchell is a wide receiver and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Adonai Mitchell is off in Week 13 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Adonai Mitchell is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Adonai Mitchell has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.