Should I start Alvin Kamara or Jake Ferguson in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Alvin Kamara's market-based projection is 8.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 100th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 7.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Alvin Kamara: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Alvin Kamara has been on the field for 32 percent of NO snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 2 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have come 0.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against LV he carried 9 times for 36 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against ATL he carried 7 times for 23 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 35 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against MIN he carried 3 times for 12 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for -6 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 72 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Alvin Kamara played 11 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He carried 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 more yards.

That came to 11.9 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 3.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Alvin Kamara 9.2, 1.9 a game between them.

Alvin Kamara finished RB46 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Alvin Kamara is a running back and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Alvin Kamara is off in Week 8 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.