Should I start A.J. Brown or Devaughn Vele in Week 6?

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 66th highest figure of the 193 players with a market-based projection.

Devaughn Vele's market-based projection is 10.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 82nd highest figure of the 193 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Devaughn Vele, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 11 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Devaughn Vele has been on the field for 91 percent of NO snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against LV he caught 3 of 6 targets for 39 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 6 of 9 targets for 54 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Devaughn Vele played 13 games and scored 66.3 PPR points, 5.1 a game, finishing WR95.

He caught 25 of 39 targets for 293 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Devaughn Vele 5.1, 9.6 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Devaughn Vele WR95.

A.J. Brown had 82 more targets than Devaughn Vele, 121 to 39.

A.J. Brown had 710 more receiving yards than Devaughn Vele, 1003 to 293.

This season Devaughn Vele holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 44 percent.

This season Devaughn Vele holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Devaughn Vele in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.