Should I start Brian Robinson or David Montgomery in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 2:46 AM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start David Montgomery: 42 percent of the snaps and 40 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Brian Robinson's 27 percent of the snaps and 32 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Brian Robinson for David Montgomery?

Yes, on the rest of the season. David Montgomery projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed out.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Brian Robinson

RB20 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Overall rank: 55

David Montgomery

RB23 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-4

Overall rank: 70

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The gap

Board size303 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Robinson, and the board ranks him 55th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on David Montgomery, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 33.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Brian Robinson is 6.5 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 6 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for David Montgomery is 5.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Brian Robinson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson has been on the field for 31 percent of ATL snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 1.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he carried 14 times for 62 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against BAL he carried 7 times for 16 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CHI he carried 2 times for 1 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, taken 45 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 3 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 3.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 11 times for 33 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 10 times for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 5 times for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Robinson played 17 games and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He carried 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 more yards.

That came to 5.4 carries a game at 4.3 yards a carry and 0-1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 David Montgomery scored 9.8 PPR points a game and Brian Robinson 3.7, 6.1 a game between them.

Brian Robinson finished RB63 that year and David Montgomery RB27.

David Montgomery had 66 more carries than Brian Robinson, 158 to 92.

David Montgomery had 16 more catches than Brian Robinson, 24 to 8.

This season David Montgomery holds the bigger snap share, 46 percent against 31 percent.

This season David Montgomery holds the bigger share of the carries, 45 percent against 31 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Robinson is off in Week 11 and David Montgomery in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

David Montgomery is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brian Robinson for David Montgomery?
Yes, on the rest of the season. David Montgomery projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed out.
Should I drop David Montgomery for Brian Robinson?
No. Keep David Montgomery: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed out.