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Should I start KC Concepcion Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 12:36 PM ET.

Start KC Concepcion Jr.: 62 percent of the snaps and 17 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Brian Thomas Jr.'s 44 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

KC Concepcion Jr.

WR · CLE · bye 11

Overall rank
243

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · on bye this week

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
4.4 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
247

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on KC Concepcion Jr., and the board ranks him 243rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 247th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for KC Concepcion Jr., so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

No season market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr., so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Neither carries a posted market, so this page rests on the draft room and on what the two have already done.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, KC Concepcion Jr. has been on the field for 68 percent of CLE snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against PIT he caught 5 of 8 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NYJ he caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against BAL he carried 2 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

KC Concepcion Jr. is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season KC Concepcion Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 68 percent against 43 percent.

This season KC Concepcion Jr. holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

KC Concepcion Jr. is off in Week 11 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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