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Cade Otton or Sam Darnold: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 16, 8:16 AM ET.

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Sam Darnold, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

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TE19 · TB · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
7.5 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

QB21 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
120
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size229 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

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Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Cade Otton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Sam Darnold: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 26.

The market-based projections

Cade Otton's market-based projection is 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 104th highest figure of the 168 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Sam Darnold, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Cade Otton has been on the field for 93 percent of TB snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 6.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 81 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 110 times and thrown 6.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 110 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 3 against WAS he completed 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he completed 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

In Week 5 against SF he completed 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Cade Otton played 16 games and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Sam Darnold was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Sam Darnold scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Cade Otton 7.6, 7.0 a game between them.

Cade Otton finished TE22 and Sam Darnold QB13, which are two different ladders.

Cade Otton is a tight end and Sam Darnold a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Sam Darnold is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Cade Otton.

What would change the answer

Sam Darnold has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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