Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Carnell Tate in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 50th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Carnell Tate's market-based projection is 11.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 73rd highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Carnell Tate: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 87 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 5, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he caught 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 82 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.