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Should I start DeVonta Smith or Keenan Allen in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 12:06 PM ET.

Start DeVonta Smith: 84 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Keenan Allen's 64 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Keenan Allen for DeVonta Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Keenan Allen 86 (8.6 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR43 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
12.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
102

WR64 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
11.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
137

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The gap

  • Board size300 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeVonta Smith, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keenan Allen, and the board ranks him 137th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for DeVonta Smith is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Keenan Allen is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

DeVonta Smith's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 86 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 62 percent of IND snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 40 targets have averaged 7.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against HOU he caught 6 of 9 targets for 63 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 5 of 9 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 DeVonta Smith scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Keenan Allen 10.7, 1.1 a game between them.

DeVonta Smith finished WR20 that year and Keenan Allen WR29.

Keenan Allen had 9 more targets than DeVonta Smith, 122 to 113.

DeVonta Smith had 231 more receiving yards than Keenan Allen, 1008 to 777.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger snap share, 86 percent against 62 percent.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger target share, 33 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

DeVonta Smith is off in Week 10 and Keenan Allen in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keenan Allen for DeVonta Smith?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Keenan Allen 86 (8.6 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop DeVonta Smith for Keenan Allen?

    No. Keep DeVonta Smith: he projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Keenan Allen 86 (8.6 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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