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Should I start Efton Chism or Nico Collins in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 7:01 PM ET.

Start Nico Collins: 71 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Efton Chism's 61 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR34 · NE · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game

WR36 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
89

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 89th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Efton Chism's market-based projection is 4.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 71st highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Nico Collins's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Efton Chism has been on the field for 47 percent of NE snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LV he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 12.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Efton Chism played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Nico Collins scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Efton Chism 2.1, 13.0 a game between them.

Nico Collins had 117 more targets than Efton Chism, 120 to 3.

Nico Collins had 1042 more receiving yards than Efton Chism, 1117 to 75.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger snap share, 71 percent against 47 percent.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Nico Collins is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Efton Chism.

What would change the answer

Nico Collins has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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