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Should I start John Metchie or Ted Hurst in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET.

John Metchie and Ted Hurst are too close to call on usage: 42 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets against 45 percent of the snaps and 10 percent of the targets over their last 3 games. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR72 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
166

WR73 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
3.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
167

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie, and the board ranks him 166th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst, and the board ranks him 167th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for John Metchie is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

John Metchie's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, John Metchie has been on the field for 35 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 John Metchie played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ted Hurst is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 35 percent.

This season Ted Hurst holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

John Metchie is off in Week 5 and Ted Hurst in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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