Josh Allen or Malik Nabers: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 23.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 1st highest figure of the 166 players with a market-based projection.

Malik Nabers's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 44th highest figure of the 166 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room has them

Josh Allen goes at ADP 1, an average pick of 24.3, and the board has him QB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 37, a standard deviation of 9.0 picks.

He appears in 16 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Malik Nabers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 12; 2QB: ADP 27.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Josh Allen has been on the field for 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 164 times and thrown 9.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 164 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 3 against LAC he completed 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 7 times for 23 yards.

In Week 4 against NE he completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 4 yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he completed 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 10 times for 121 yards.

Through Week 5, Malik Nabers has been on the field for 75 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 46 targets have averaged 11.8 air yards.

In Week 3 against TEN he caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 112 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 11 of 20 targets for 121 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Malik Nabers played 4 games and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 8.8 targets a game, a 51 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen was available for 13 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Malik Nabers 14.3, 7.8 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 and Malik Nabers WR101, which are two different ladders.

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Malik Nabers a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Malik Nabers in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.