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Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Malik Nabers in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 10:51 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Malik Nabers

McMillan projects lower, 14.7 to 15.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 30 for McMillan, 35 for Nabers.

Start

WR · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
DEN D vs WR
27.9
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
61 of 100 at WR
Snap share
83%
Through Week 8
Target share
26%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · NYG · at PHI

Market projects
15.1
recent weeks avg
PHI D vs WR
39.4
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
91 of 100 at WR
Snap share
76%
Through Week 7
Target share
30%
Through Week 7
Start McMillan or Nabers? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Malik Nabers in Week 9. McMillan projects lower, 14.7 to 15.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 30 for McMillan, 35 for Nabers.

Should I drop Malik Nabers for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Malik Nabers.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR5 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
14.7 pts a game

WR33 · NYG · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Overall rank
82

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Malik Nabers, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 12; 2QB: ADP 27.

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Malik Nabers is 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Malik Nabers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 3 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 65 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Malik Nabers has been on the field for 76 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 12 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 70 targets have averaged 11.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 11 of 20 targets for 121 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NO he caught 12 of 15 targets for 165 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against HOU he caught 7 of 9 targets for 111 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Malik Nabers played 4 games and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 8.8 targets a game, a 51 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 13 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Malik Nabers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 1.8 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Malik Nabers WR101.

Tetairoa McMillan had 87 more targets than Malik Nabers, 122 to 35.

Tetairoa McMillan had 743 more receiving yards than Malik Nabers, 1014 to 271.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 76 percent.

This season Malik Nabers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Malik Nabers in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Malik Nabers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Malik Nabers for Tetairoa McMillan?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Malik Nabers.

  • Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Malik Nabers?

    No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Malik Nabers.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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