Should I start Matthew Golden or Zay Flowers in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Matthew Golden's market-based projection is 14.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

Zay Flowers's market-based projection is 13.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 56th highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Golden: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 33rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zay Flowers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 34th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Matthew Golden has been on the field for 83 percent of GB snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 1 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 14.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against ATL he caught 5 of 12 targets for 100 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 3 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 123 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 55 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 31 targets have averaged 8.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 1 time for 20 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Golden played 14 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.

He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Matthew Golden 5.0, 9.3 a game between them.

Matthew Golden finished WR89 that year and Zay Flowers WR7.

Zay Flowers had 74 more targets than Matthew Golden, 118 to 44.

Zay Flowers had 850 more receiving yards than Matthew Golden, 1211 to 361.

This season Matthew Golden holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 55 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 24 percent.

Byes and availability

Matthew Golden is off in Week 11 and Zay Flowers in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.