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Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Michael Wilson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 1:26 PM ET.

Start Michael Wilson: 90 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tyler Allgeier's 51 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Michael Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB37 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
12.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
110

WR45 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
111

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Michael Wilson is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NYG he carried 8 times for 42 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 4 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 14 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 58 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Wilson scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 5.7 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 and Michael Wilson WR10, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Allgeier is a running back and Michael Wilson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 14, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Michael Wilson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Michael Wilson for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Michael Wilson: he projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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