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Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Roschon Johnson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 7:01 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects
8.3
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB
23.3
9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
71 of 100 at RB
Snap share
51%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
NE D vs RB
20.6
16th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at RB
Snap share
22%
Through Week 6
Target share
7%
Through Week 6
Start Allgeier or Johnson? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Tyler Allgeier: 51 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Roschon Johnson's 28 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games), Roschon Johnson 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Roschon Johnson.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB38 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
12.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
109

RB42 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
5.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
122

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Roschon Johnson, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Roschon Johnson is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NYG he carried 8 times for 42 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Roschon Johnson has been on the field for 22 percent of CHI snaps, taken 16 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 2.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 4 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 5 times for 6 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he carried 13 times for 51 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Roschon Johnson played 7 games and scored 1.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing RB134.

He carried 2 times for 17 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 0 of 0 targets for 0 more yards.

That came to 0.3 carries a game at 9 yards a carry.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier scored 7.2 PPR points a game and Roschon Johnson 0.2, 7.0 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 that year and Roschon Johnson RB134.

Tyler Allgeier had 141 more carries than Roschon Johnson, 143 to 2.

Tyler Allgeier had 14 more catches than Roschon Johnson, 14 to 0.

This season Tyler Allgeier holds the bigger snap share, 51 percent against 22 percent.

This season Tyler Allgeier holds the bigger share of the carries, 34 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyler Allgeier is off in Week 14 and Roschon Johnson in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Tyler Allgeier?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games), Roschon Johnson 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Roschon Johnson.

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Roschon Johnson?

    No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games), Roschon Johnson 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Roschon Johnson.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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