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Should I start Zay Flowers or Tony Pollard in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 3:26 PM ET.

Start Zay Flowers: 81 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tony Pollard's 57 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tony Pollard for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR34 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
84

RB29 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Market-based projection
11.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
85

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 84th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tony Pollard, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Tony Pollard is 3.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 55 percent of TEN snaps, taken 67 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 6 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 1.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 16 times for 48 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 2 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 14 times for 52 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he carried 19 times for 76 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Tony Pollard 10.9, 3.4 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 and Tony Pollard RB23, which are two different ladders.

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and Tony Pollard a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Tony Pollard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tony Pollard for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Tony Pollard?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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