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Start Rico Dowdle or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 6

Updated Oct 17, 12:51 AM ET.

Start Rico Dowdle over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at TB · Questionable

Market projects
5.9
fantasy pts
TB D vs RB
16.9
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
42%
Through Week 2
Target share
9%
Through Week 2
Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs HOU

Market projects
4.2
fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB
16.7
4th fewest to RBs (2026)

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 5.9 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.2, a gap of 1.8. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 178.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.9 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 21 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 12, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.2 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 16 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.8 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 16.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host HOU on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

HOU allowed 16.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 17 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable with a toe injury.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 2, Rico Dowdle played 42 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB42 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Overall rank
145
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

RB48 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-3

Overall rank
165
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board20
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 11
  • Board size317 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board