Start C.J. Stroud or Jared Goff? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Goff projects lower, 16.7 to 18.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 106 for Goff, 185 for Stroud.

Start

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
GB D vs QB: 13.8; 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 5

Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 18.6; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs QB: 19.9; 9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Jared Goff?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 184 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 11 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 16.7 points and C.J. Stroud at 18.6, a gap of 1.9. Jared Goff still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 106 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jared Goff this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.0 and 16.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (23.2 and 14.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 23.2 and 14.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jared Goff yet. His market-based projections were 17.0 and 16.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts C.J. Stroud 1.9 points ahead of Jared Goff on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 210 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYG, with 1.2 interceptions.

Jared Goff and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 13.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 199 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.4 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, C.J. Stroud has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.5 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 207 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Jared Goff?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 184 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 11 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.
Should I drop Jared Goff for C.J. Stroud?
No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 184 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 11 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.