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Start C.J. Stroud or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET.

Start Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud

Nix projects lower, 16.2 to 18.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 116 for Nix, 185 for Stroud.

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
16.2
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB
23.2
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
18.6
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs QB
19.9
9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for C.J. Stroud?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.2 points and C.J. Stroud at 18.6, a gap of 2.5. Bo Nix still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 116 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (23.2 and 14.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 23.2 and 14.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts C.J. Stroud 2.5 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 210 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYG, with 1.2 interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.5 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games) and Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board