Start C.J. Stroud or Trevor Lawrence? Week 6
Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud
Lawrence projects lower, 16.5 to 16.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 97 for Lawrence, 185 for Stroud.

- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- HOU D vs QB
- 17.0
- 15th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 5

- Market projects
- 16.7
- fantasy pts
- JAX D vs QB
- 15.2
- 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 5
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Also deciding this week
Our Week 6 call
Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 16.5 points and C.J. Stroud at 16.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and C.J. Stroud at 185.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for C.J. Stroud is 254 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 13 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 229 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 14 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 13 and 14 market sources).
That puts C.J. Stroud 0.2 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the market projections.
Week 6 matchups
C.J. Stroud and HOU visit JAX on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.
JAX allowed 15.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 10th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against JAX, with 1.2 interceptions.
Trevor Lawrence and JAX host HOU on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.
HOU allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions.
By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.
Injury status
C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.
Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.
C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.
Through Week 5, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 157 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.
He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.
He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB11 · HOU · bye 8
2026 vs pass yds line 4-1
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no draft data
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
QB13 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs pass yds line 2-3
- Overall rank
- 91
- Draft pick
- no draft data
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Draft positionno current draft data for both
- Tiersboth in tier 6
- Board size326 draftable players
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