Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Stroud: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 17.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 18th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price C.J. Stroud at 16.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 22.

Drafters have formed no consensus on C.J. Stroud: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 75.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 94 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 55 times and thrown 10.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 10 of 55 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against CLE he completed 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 3 yards.

In Week 2 against DEN he completed 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Through Week 2, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 102 times and thrown 8.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 16 of 102 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 1 against BUF he completed 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 15 yards.

In Week 2 against CIN he completed 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and C.J. Stroud 15.5, 5.1 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and C.J. Stroud QB21.

Trevor Lawrence had 137 more pass attempts than C.J. Stroud, 560 to 423.

Trevor Lawrence had 966 more passing yards than C.J. Stroud, 4007 to 3041.

This season C.J. Stroud holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 94 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and C.J. Stroud in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.