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Should I start Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Stroud in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

QB · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9
Start Lawrence or Stroud? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud in Week 10: both averaging 17.4 PPR points over recent weeks. Lawrence faces TEN, which allows the 9th most fantasy points to QBs.

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB14 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 4-4

Market-based projection
17.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
109

QB17 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Market-based projection
16.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
155

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on C.J. Stroud, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 30.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has C.J. Stroud at 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trevor Lawrence's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 37 of 245 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 9 against BAL he completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and thrown 9.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 304 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 6 against JAX he completed 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he completed 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 9 against LAC he completed 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and C.J. Stroud 15.5, 5.1 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and C.J. Stroud QB21.

Trevor Lawrence had 137 more pass attempts than C.J. Stroud, 560 to 423.

Trevor Lawrence had 966 more passing yards than C.J. Stroud, 4007 to 3041.

This season C.J. Stroud holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and C.J. Stroud in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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