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Start Matthew Stafford or Drake Maye? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET.

Start Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford

Start

Drake Maye

QB · NE · at CHI

Market projects
20.2
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
17.5
14th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
96%
Through Week 6
Sit

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at LV

Market projects
17.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
21.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Drake Maye?

Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games) and Drake Maye 181 (18.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Drake Maye at 20.2 points and Matthew Stafford at 17.3, a gap of 2.9. No player market is posted for Drake Maye this week yet, so his 20.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (23.6 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 17.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (13.9 and 20.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Drake Maye at ADP 50 and Matthew Stafford at 75.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Drake Maye yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 16.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 20.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 14.0 and 20.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Drake Maye 2.9 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Drake Maye and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 229 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 253 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Drake Maye played 96 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 214 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 3 against JAX: 51 of 63 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 199 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 18 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 4 against BUF: 76 of 76 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 56 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 5 against LV: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 6 against NYJ: 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Drake Maye?

    Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games) and Drake Maye 181 (18.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford.

  • Should I drop Drake Maye for Matthew Stafford?

    Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games) and Matthew Stafford 180 (18.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board