Start Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix

Start

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 17.3; recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB: 21.8; 5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Matthew Stafford?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 17.3 points and Bo Nix at 16.2, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 17.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (13.9 and 20.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 75 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 14.0 and 20.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Matthew Stafford 1.1 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 253 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Matthew Stafford?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Matthew Stafford: he projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix.