Start Geno Smith or Tyson Bagent? Week 6

Our Week 6 call

Start Geno Smith over Tyson Bagent in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 16.1 points and Tyson Bagent at 14.5, a gap of 1.7. Geno Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Tyson Bagent this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3, 4 and 5 (10.6, 17.0 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Geno Smith is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 220 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (10, 12 and 10 market sources).

No Week 6 player market is posted for Tyson Bagent yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 17.0 and 15.8 points in Weeks 3, 4 and 5, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 1.7 points ahead of Tyson Bagent on these projections.

Week 6 matchups

Tyson Bagent and CHI visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 171 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Through Week 5, Tyson Bagent played 63 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Tyson Bagent, Week 5 against GB: 46 of 69 snaps, 12 of 21 passes for 87 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Geno Smith.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Tyson Bagent over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Tyson Bagent.