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Start Isaiah Likely or Juwan Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson

Likely projects lower, 10.0 to 11.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 144 for Likely, 173 for Johnson.

Start

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · at HOU

Market projects
10.0
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs TE
9.0
6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6
Sit

Juwan Johnson

TE · NO · vs PIT

Market projects
11.0
recent weeks avg
PIT D vs TE
13.2
16th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 6
Target share
15%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Juwan Johnson for Isaiah Likely?

Not on these numbers alone. Juwan Johnson projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 10 games) and Isaiah Likely 100 (10.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Isaiah Likely at 10.0 points and Juwan Johnson at 11.0, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Isaiah Likely still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 144 against 173, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Isaiah Likely this week yet, so his 10.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.4 and 10.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Juwan Johnson this week yet, so his 11.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Juwan Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Isaiah Likely yet. His market-based projections were 9.4 and 10.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Juwan Johnson 1.0 points ahead of Isaiah Likely on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Juwan Johnson and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 13.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 50 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against PIT.

Isaiah Likely and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and no touchdowns a game against HOU.

By points allowed to the position, Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Juwan Johnson is not on the injury report.

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Juwan Johnson played 70 percent of NO snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Juwan Johnson, Week 3 against LV: 46 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Juwan Johnson, Week 4 against ATL: 58 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 59 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 5 against MIN: 29 of 45 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 16 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 6 against NYG: 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely played 70 percent of NYG snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 3 against TEN: 54 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 4 against ARI: 44 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 66 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Juwan Johnson for Isaiah Likely?

    Not on these numbers alone. Juwan Johnson projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 10 games) and Isaiah Likely 100 (10.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson.

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Juwan Johnson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games) and Juwan Johnson 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board