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Start Isaiah Likely or Mark Andrews? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:31 PM ET.

Start Mark Andrews over Isaiah Likely

Andrews projects lower, 8.7 to 10.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 137 for Andrews, 144 for Likely.

Start

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
CIN D vs TE
16.6
8th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
65%
Through Week 6
Target share
20%
Through Week 6
Sit

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · at HOU

Market projects
10.0
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs TE
9.0
6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Mark Andrews?

Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games) and Mark Andrews 100 (10.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Mark Andrews over Isaiah Likely.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Mark Andrews over Isaiah Likely in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Mark Andrews at 8.7 points and Isaiah Likely at 10.0, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Mark Andrews still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 137 against 144, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Mark Andrews this week yet, so his 8.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.2 and 8.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Isaiah Likely this week yet, so his 10.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.4 and 10.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Isaiah Likely yet. His market-based projections were 9.4 and 10.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Mark Andrews yet. His market-based projections were 9.2 and 8.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 8.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Isaiah Likely 1.4 points ahead of Mark Andrews on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Isaiah Likely and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and no touchdowns a game against HOU.

Mark Andrews and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 5 games, the 8th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 90 yards and no touchdowns a game against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Mark Andrews has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Mark Andrews is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely played 70 percent of NYG snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 3 against TEN: 54 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 4 against ARI: 44 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 66 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Mark Andrews played 65 percent of BAL snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Mark Andrews, Week 3 against DAL: 33 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Mark Andrews, Week 4 against TEN: 37 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mark Andrews, Week 5 against ATL: 55 of 76 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards.

Mark Andrews, Week 6 against CLE: 3 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Mark Andrews played 17 games for BAL and scored 131.0 PPR points, 7.7 a game, finishing TE16.

He caught 48 of 70 targets for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 321 air yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Mark Andrews?

    Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games) and Mark Andrews 100 (10.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Mark Andrews over Isaiah Likely.

  • Should I drop Mark Andrews for Isaiah Likely?

    Not on these numbers alone. Mark Andrews projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 10 games) and Isaiah Likely 100 (10.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Mark Andrews over Isaiah Likely.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board