Start MarShawn Lloyd or J.K. Dobbins? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 8.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs RB: 19.7; 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Sit

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 7.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 39%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 84 (8.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd.

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Our Week 7 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 8.9 points and MarShawn Lloyd at 7.7, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins this week yet, so his 8.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.0 and 8.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (5.4 and 10.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take J.K. Dobbins at ADP 90 and MarShawn Lloyd at 125.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins yet. His market-based projections were 9.0 and 8.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 8.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 5.4 and 10.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts J.K. Dobbins 1.1 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 110 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins played 44 percent of DEN snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 3 against LAR: 33 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 49 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd played 39 percent of GB snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 3 against ATL: 15 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 11 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for J.K. Dobbins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 84 (8.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd.
Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for MarShawn Lloyd?
No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 84 (8.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd.