Start J.K. Dobbins or Alvin Kamara? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Dobbins projects lower, 8.9 to 10.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 90 for Dobbins, 164 for Kamara.

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 8.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs RB: 19.7; 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs PIT · Questionable

Market projects: 10.6; recent weeks avg
PIT D vs RB: 22.5; 11th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 32%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over Alvin Kamara in Week 7.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 8.9 points and Alvin Kamara at 10.6, a gap of 1.7. J.K. Dobbins still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 90 against 164, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins this week yet, so his 8.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.0 and 8.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 10.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.3 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 10.3 and 10.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins yet. His market-based projections were 9.0 and 8.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 8.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Alvin Kamara 1.7 points ahead of J.K. Dobbins on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 40 more yards.

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 110 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara played 32 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins played 44 percent of DEN snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 3 against LAR: 33 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 49 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for J.K. Dobbins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.
Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Alvin Kamara?
No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.