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Start Keaton Mitchell or Kenny Gainwell? Week 6

Updated Oct 18, 7:26 AM ET.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell

Gainwell projects lower, 6.5 to 7.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 190 for Mitchell.

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · vs PIT

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
41%
Through Week 5
Target share
11%
Through Week 5
Sit

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · at KC

Market projects
7.1
fantasy pts
KC D vs RB
20.0
14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
33%
Through Week 5
Target share
10%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 6.5 points and Keaton Mitchell at 7.1, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 190, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.1 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 19 rushing yards, 16 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (10, 12, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Kenny Gainwell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kenny Gainwell is 13 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13, 12 and 8 market sources).

That puts Keaton Mitchell 0.6 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 38 more yards.

Kenny Gainwell and TB host PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PIT allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 40 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 22 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 5, Kenny Gainwell played 41 percent of TB snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 2 against CLE: 23 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB38 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-3

Overall rank
139
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB42 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 1-4

Overall rank
149
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Draft positionno current draft data for both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size325 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board