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Start Tyler Shough or Trevor Lawrence? Week 6

Updated Oct 18, 7:26 AM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough

Lawrence projects lower, 16.5 to 16.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 97 for Lawrence, 147 for Shough.

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · vs HOU

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
17.0
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 5
Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · at NYG

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
NYG D vs QB
19.9
9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 16.5 points and Tyler Shough at 16.6, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Tyler Shough at 147.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 231 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 9 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 229 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 14 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tyler Shough 0.1 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Tyler Shough and NO visit NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 210 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYG, with 1.2 interceptions.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host HOU on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

HOU allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Shough has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 223 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Through Week 5, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 157 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB12 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Overall rank
87
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB13 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Draft positionno current draft data for both
  • Tiersboth in tier 6
  • Board size325 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board