Trevor Lawrence or Tyler Shough: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 16.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 24th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Tyler Shough at 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 27th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 22.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Shough: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 52.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 88 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 24 times and thrown 10.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 3 of 24 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against CLE he completed 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 3 yards.

Through Week 1, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 62 times and thrown 8.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 62 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against DET he completed 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Tyler Shough 14.9, 5.7 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Tyler Shough QB26.

Trevor Lawrence had 233 more pass attempts than Tyler Shough, 560 to 327.

Trevor Lawrence had 1623 more passing yards than Tyler Shough, 4007 to 2384.

This season Tyler Shough holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 88 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Tyler Shough in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.