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Should I start Tyler Shough or Trevor Lawrence in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 4:06 PM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
17.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
18.6
12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
51 of 100 at QB
Snap share
95%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
17.0
fantasy pts
CLE D vs QB
14.2
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7
Start Lawrence or Shough? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough in Week 9: 17.1 to 17.0 projected PPR points. Shough faces CLE, which allows the 7th fewest fantasy points to QBs.

Should I drop Tyler Shough for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 9 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough, 17.1 to 17.0 projected PPR points.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB12 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 5-2

Overall rank
86

QB15 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
17.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Shough, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 24.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 17.9 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 17.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 18th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Tyler Shough's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 296 times and thrown 7.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 296 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against MIN he completed 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

In Week 6 against NYG he completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 33 yards.

In Week 7 against PIT he completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 95 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 219 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Tyler Shough 14.9, 5.7 a game between them.

Tyler Shough finished QB26 that year and Trevor Lawrence QB4.

Trevor Lawrence had 233 more pass attempts than Tyler Shough, 560 to 327.

Trevor Lawrence had 1623 more passing yards than Tyler Shough, 4007 to 2384.

This season Tyler Shough holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 95 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Tyler Shough is off in Week 8 and Trevor Lawrence in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Tyler Shough has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 9 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough, 17.1 to 17.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Tyler Shough?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games) and Tyler Shough 150 (16.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough, 17.1 to 17.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Tyler Shough?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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