Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Carnell Tate in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 12:36 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Adonai Mitchell and Carnell Tate are too close to call on usage: 76 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets against 79 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the targets over their last 3 games. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Carnell Tate?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 59 (5.9 a game over 10 games). Adonai Mitchell is listed out.

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Adonai Mitchell

WR49 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank: 113

Carnell Tate

WR50 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection: 11.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 114

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The gap

Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Carnell Tate, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Adonai Mitchell's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 15.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against GB he caught 6 of 12 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 81 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 13.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against BAL he caught 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 76 percent.

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 25 percent.

Byes and availability

Adonai Mitchell is off in Week 13 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Adonai Mitchell is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Carnell Tate?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 59 (5.9 a game over 10 games). Adonai Mitchell is listed out.
Should I drop Carnell Tate for Adonai Mitchell?
No. Keep Carnell Tate: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 59 (5.9 a game over 10 games). Adonai Mitchell is listed out.